Monday, March 7, 2011

Crowdsourcing a revolution

On February 11, a revolution in Egypt culminated in President Hosni Mubarak resignation as President. As stated by CNN, "Inspired by a revolt in Tunisia and a page on Facebook", over 18 days mass protests coordinated predominantly through social media and cell phones (Twitter, Facebook, texting) brought down a dictatorial leader who had been in power for 30 years. The role of Social media in Mubarak's downfall has been hotly debated. On the one hand are the legions of news media outlets and bloggers who view Egypt as the first (but not the last) crowdsourced revolution (see The Instrumental Role of Social Media in Egypt on http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20030611-503544.html and E. B. Boyd's How Social Media Accelerated the Uprising in Egypt in Fast Company http://www.fastcompany.com/1722492/how-social-media-accelerated-the-uprising-in-egypt). They argue that the speed and efficiency of the revolution was directly attributable to the social media tools available to the drivers of the revolution, disenfranchised 18-24 year old Egyptians. If not for these tools, Mubarak would have rounded up and captured the leaders of the movement before they got traction with the general populace, and he'd still be in power today.

On the other side of the debate are those who feel social media's role is grossly overstated(see Malcolm Gladwell's article "Does Egypt need Twitter" in The New Yorker http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/newsdesk/2011/02/does-egypt-need-twitter.html#ixzz1CwFMDA3b, and Jaikumar Vijayan of Computerworld at http://blogs.computerworld.com/17810/is_the_role_of_social_media_in_egypt_being_overstated). They point out, quite rightly, that crowd based revolutions have occurred throughout history (French Revolution anyone?) without any electronic social media tools.

While both sides have a valid point, it is clear that crowdsourcing and social media tools played a key role in the overthrow of the Government. With the speed of news dissemination and the ability to engage others quickly for protests, social media played a key role in moving from first protest to resignation within 18 days while providing a level of anonymity for the leaders until momentum clearly pointed to Mubarak's downfall. The key point here is anonymity for the leaders of the movement. With obscure Twitter and Facebook ID's, Mubarak's secret police didn't know who to round up. Traditionally despots have found and silenced opposition leaders before they could gain traction. In this case, without cooperation from two US based companies several thousand miles away, they couldn't find the individuals to arrest and interrogate. Finally, Social media tools are public (Twitter is publishing "Tweets from Tahir", a book of tweets that occurred during the revolution), which provides international support, sympathy, and ideas to help a movement succeed.

It took 4 years for the French Revolution to move from the storming of the Bastille to beheading Louis XVI. Wonder how much faster it would have happened today?

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